Latest Forecast for the Atlantic Hurricane Season

Latest Forecast for the Atlantic Hurricane Season

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Latest Forecast for the Atlantic Hurricane Season

Brief Note by Kip Hansen

 

Phillip Klotzbach and Michael Bell, who continue the invaluable work of the late  William M. Gray,  at the  Department of Atmospheric Science of Colorado State University have issued their latest updated forecast for the Atlantic Hurricane season of 2018 which begins 1 June.  The short-form summary reads:

 

 

EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2018

We have decreased our forecast and now believe that 2018 will have approximately average activity. While we still do not anticipate a significant El Niño during the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, most of the North Atlantic has continued to anomalously cool over the past two months. The eastern and central tropical Atlantic is cooler than normal at present. We anticipate a near-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.

(as of 31 May 2018)

By Philip J. Klotzbach and Michael M. Bell

The full 35 page report is available in .pdf format here.

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Superforest,Climate Change

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